globals [ UK-TG-Patches UK-TG-Price UK-TG-Wage UK-TG-MPL UK-NTG-Patches UK-NTG-Price UK-NTG-Wage UK-NTG-MPL PL-TG-Patches PL-TG-Price PL-TG-Wage PL-NTG-Patches PL-NTG-Price PL-NTG-Wage PL-NTG-MPL ] breed [ workers worker ] breed [ goods good ] workers-own [ age ; how old the workers are. if older, they will be less likely to migrate [ to be added ] initiative ; what their natural initiative is. this is moderated by age. migrating? ; true when worker is currently migrating job-changer? ; true when worker is currently in process of switching sectors ] to setup clear-all setup-patches setup-turtles setup-parameters reset-ticks end to setup-patches ; creates sectors for each country ask patches [set pcolor gray + 2 ] ; sets background color ask patches with [ pxcor = 0 and pycor >= -2] [ set pcolor gray - 2 ] ; visualizes immobility of labor between countries ask patches with [ pycor = 0 ] [ set pcolor gray - 2 ] ; visualizes immobility of labor between sectors open-close-border ; matches "barrier" visual with open and closed borders open-close-sectors ; matches "barrier" visual with open sector movement within countires set UK-TG-Patches patches with [pxcor < -4 and pycor > 2] ; the following color the sector and country patches ask UK-TG-Patches [ set pcolor blue + 2 ] set UK-NTG-Patches patches with [pxcor < -4 and pycor < -2] ask UK-NTG-Patches [ set pcolor blue + 3 ] set PL-TG-Patches patches with [pxcor > 4 and pycor > 2] ask PL-TG-Patches [ set pcolor red + 2 ] set PL-NTG-Patches patches with [pxcor > 4 and pycor < -2] ask PL-NTG-Patches [ set pcolor red + 3 ] end to open-close-border ifelse not open-borders? ; if borders are closed [ ask patches with [ pxcor = 0 and pycor <= -2] [ set pcolor gray - 2 ] ] ; draw borders [ ask patches with [ pxcor = 0 and pycor <= -2] [ set pcolor gray + 2 ] ] ; else remove borders end to open-close-sectors ifelse not allow-sector-mvmt? ; if sectors are open within countries [ ask patches with [ pxcor > 4 and pycor = 0] [ set pcolor gray - 2 ] ; draw borders ; ask patches with [ pxcor < -4 and pycor = 0 ] [ set pcolor gray - 2 ] ] ; INACTIVE WHILE TROUBLESHOOTING: UK and PL sector changes not working together ] [ ask patches with [ pxcor > 4 and pycor = 0] [ set pcolor gray + 2 ] ; else remove borders ; ask patches with [ pxcor < -4 and pycor = 0 ] [ set pcolor gray + 2 ] ] ; INACTIVE WHILE TROUBLESHOOTING: UK and PL sector changes not working together ] end to setup-turtles ; create 200 total workers, split evenly between sectors and coutnries set-default-shape goods "box" set-default-shape workers "person" create-workers 50 [ set color blue - 1 move-to one-of UK-TG-Patches ] create-workers 50 [ set color blue - 1 move-to one-of UK-NTG-Patches ] create-workers 50 [ set color red - 1 move-to one-of PL-TG-Patches ] create-workers 50 [ set color red - 1 move-to one-of PL-NTG-Patches ] ask workers [ set heading 0 ; set headings of workers, to intiialize movement up and down set initiative random-float 1 ; gives workers a random propensity to migrate or change jobs from 0 - 0.5 set migrating? false ; set default value of not migrating set job-changer? false ; set default value of not changing jobs ] end to setup-parameters ;; sets initial values, relationships, and parameters set UK-TG-Wage 20 set UK-TG-MPL 10 set UK-TG-Price UK-TG-Wage / UK-TG-MPL set UK-NTG-Wage 20 set UK-NTG-MPL 10 set UK-NTG-Price UK-NTG-Wage / UK-NTG-MPL set PL-TG-Wage 10 set PL-TG-Price PL-TG-Wage / PL-TG-MPL set PL-NTG-Wage 10 set PL-NTG-MPL 10 set PL-NTG-Price PL-NTG-Wage / PL-NTG-MPL end to go arbitrage ; arbitrage goods between countries, leveling price identify-job-changers ; check to see if anyone decides to change sectors change-jobs ; move job changers from one sector to the other settle-job-changers ; adds job changers to new sectors identify-migrants ; check to see if anyone decides to migrate migrate ; move one migrant one at a time to other sector settle-migrants ; adds migrant to working sector move-about ; moves workers within their sector and country open-close-border ; update border status open-close-sectors ; update sector status tick end to arbitrage ; step 1) make goods 2) ship goods 3) recceive goods, updating prices ; step 1. make goods if not any? goods ; if no goods are currently transferring (approx. even prices) [ set PL-TG-Price PL-TG-Wage / PL-TG-MPL ; set price relationship if UK-TG-Price > PL-TG-Price and abs ( UK-TG-Price - PL-TG-Price ) > 0.01 ; if UK-TG prices are more than 0.01 higher than PL-TG [ ask one-of PL-TG-Patches [ sprout-goods 1 [set color yellow set heading 270] ] ; make goods at a PL patch ] if UK-TG-Price < PL-TG-Price and abs ( UK-TG-Price - PL-TG-Price ) > 0.01 ; and UK-TG prices are lower than 0.01 of PL-TG [ ask one-of UK-TG-Patches [ sprout-goods 1 [set color yellow set heading 90] ] ; make goods at a UK patch ] ] ; step 2. ship goods ask goods [ fd 2] ; move goods (quickly) towards their destination ; step 3. recieve goods, adjust prices ask goods [ if [pcolor] of patch-here = gray + 2 ; if goods are in transport [ if [pcolor] of patch-ahead 2 = blue + 2 ; and they reach the UK border [ set UK-TG-Price UK-TG-Price - 0.001 ; lower UK TG price (by a little, simulating lower market share of PL) set PL-TG-Price PL-TG-Price + 0.01 ; and raise PL TG price (this simulates supply/demand of TG) set UK-TG-Wage UK-TG-Price * UK-TG-MPL ; change relationship to drive wage up, observing LOP set PL-TG-Wage PL-TG-Price * PL-TG-MPL die ; remove goods ] if [pcolor] of patch-ahead 2 = red + 2 ; if goods reach PL border [ set UK-TG-Price UK-TG-Price + 0.01 ; raise UK TG price (simulating supply/demand of TG) set PL-TG-Price PL-TG-Price - 0.001 ; and lower PL TG price (by a little, simulating lower market share of PL) set UK-TG-Wage UK-TG-Price * UK-TG-MPL ; change relationship to drive wage up, observing LOP set PL-TG-Wage PL-TG-Price * PL-TG-MPL die ; remove goods ] ] ] end to identify-job-changers ; TROUBLESHOOT: two scenarios currently incompatible with each other if allow-sector-mvmt? ; if sectors are open and no workers currently changing sectors and not any? workers with [job-changer?] ; and there are no job-changers already and not any? workers with [migrating?] ; and there is no one migrating and abs (UK-TG-Price - PL-TG-Price) < 0.02 ; and there is no price disparity of TG goods (within 0.02) [ if abs (PL-TG-Wage - PL-NTG-Wage ) > 0.02 ; if PL wage disparity exists (greater than 0.02) [ if PL-TG-Wage > PL-NTG-Wage ; and TG wages are higher than NTG wages in PL [ ask one-of workers-on PL-NTG-Patches ; select one of NTG workers in PLland [ if random-float 1 < initiative ; change sectors if random no. < worker's initiative [ set job-changer? true set PL-NTG-Wage PL-NTG-Wage + 0.2 ] ] ] if PL-TG-Wage < PL-NTG-Wage ; and TG wages are lower than NTG wages in PL [ ask one-of workers-on PL-TG-Patches ; select one of TG workers in PL [ if random-float 1 < initiative ; change sectors if random no. < worker's initiative [ set job-changer? true set PL-TG-Wage PL-TG-Wage + 0.2 ] ] ] ] ; TROUBLESHOOT THIS: If this is active, PL workers will not change job sectors for some reason ; if abs (UK-TG-Wage - UK-NTG-Wage ) > 0.02 ; [ ; if UK-TG-Wage > UK-NTG-Wage ; and TG wages are higher than NTG wages in PL ; [ ; ask one-of workers-on UK-NTG-Patches ; select one of NTG workers in PLland ; [ ; if random-float 1 < initiative; change sectors if random no. < worker's initiative ; [ ; set job-changer? true set UK-NTG-Wage UK-NTG-Wage + 0.2 ; ] ; ] ; ] ; if UK-TG-Wage < UK-NTG-Wage ; and TG wages are lower than NTG wages in PL ; [ ; ask one-of workers-on UK-TG-Patches ; select one of TG workers in PL ; [ ; if random-float 1 < initiative; change sectors if random no. < worker's initiative ; [ ; set job-changer? true set PL-TG-Wage PL-TG-Wage + 0.2 ; ] ; ] ; ] ; ] ] end to change-jobs ask workers with [ pxcor > 0 ] ; ask workers on right side of map (in Poland) [ if job-changer? ; if they are changing jobs [ ifelse PL-TG-Wage > PL-NTG-Wage ; if TG wages is higher [ set heading 0 ] ; workers looks look torwards TG sector [ set heading 180 ] ; otherwise, look towards NTG sector fd 1 ] ] ask workers with [ pxcor < 0 ] ; ask workers on left side of map (in UK) [ if job-changer? ; if they are changing jobs [ ifelse UK-TG-Wage > UK-NTG-Wage ; if TG wages is higher [ set heading 0 ] ; workers looks look torwards TG sector [ set heading 180 ] ; otherwise, look towards NTG sector fd 1 ] ] end to settle-job-changers ask workers [ if job-changer? [ if PL-TG-Wage >= PL-NTG-Wage and [pcolor] of patch-here = red + 2 ; if job changers on higher wage patch (PL TG) [ move-to one-of PL-TG-Patches ; add to TG sector set job-changer? false set heading 0 set PL-TG-Wage PL-TG-Wage - 0.2 ; lower wages due to supply/demand of labor in TG sector set PL-TG-Price PL-TG-Wage / PL-TG-MPL ] if PL-TG-Wage <= PL-NTG-Wage and [pcolor] of patch-here = red + 3 ; if job changers on higher wage patch (PL NTG) [ move-to one-of PL-NTG-Patches ; add to NTG sector set job-changer? false set heading 0 set PL-NTG-Wage PL-NTG-Wage - 0.2 ; lower wages due to supply/demand of labor in NTG sector set PL-NTG-Price PL-NTG-Wage / PL-NTG-MPL ] if UK-TG-Wage >= UK-NTG-Wage and [pcolor] of patch-here = blue + 2 ; if job changers on higher wage patch (UK TG) [ move-to one-of UK-TG-Patches ; add to TG sector set migrating? false set heading 0 set UK-TG-Wage UK-TG-Wage - 0.2 ; lower wages due to supply/demand of labor in TG sector set UK-TG-Price UK-TG-Wage / UK-TG-MPL ] if UK-TG-Wage <= UK-NTG-Wage and [pcolor] of patch-here = blue + 3 ; if job changers on higher wage patch (UK NTG) [ move-to one-of UK-NTG-Patches ; add to NTG sector set migrating? false set heading 0 set UK-NTG-Wage UK-NTG-Wage - 0.2 ; lower wages due to supply/demand of labor in NTG sector set UK-NTG-Price UK-NTG-Wage / UK-TG-MPL ] ] ] end to identify-migrants ; selects migrants. Done one worker at a time for visual reasons if open-borders? and not any? workers with [migrating?] and not any? workers with [job-changer?] ; if borders are open and no workers currently migrating or changing jobs [ if UK-NTG-Wage > PL-NTG-Wage ; and UK-NTG wages are higher [ ask one-of workers-on PL-NTG-Patches ; select one of NTG workers in PLland [ if random-float 1 < initiative + mvmt-bias-towards-UK ; migrate if random no. < worker's initiative + movement bias towards UK [ set migrating? true set PL-NTG-Wage PL-NTG-Wage + 0.2 ] ] ] if UK-NTG-Wage < PL-NTG-Wage ; if PL-NTG wages are higher [ ask one-of workers-on UK-NTG-Patches ; select one of NTG workers in UK [ if random-float 1 < initiative + mvmt-bias-towards-PL ; migrate if random no. < worker's initiative + movement bias towards PL [ set migrating? true set UK-NTG-Wage UK-NTG-Wage + 0.2 ] ] ] ] end to migrate ask workers [ if migrating? ; if they are migrating [ ifelse UK-NTG-Wage > PL-NTG-Wage ; if UK wage is higher [ set heading 270 ] ; workers looks towards UK [ set heading 90 ] ; otherwise, PL wage higher and workers look towards PL fd 1 ] ] end to settle-migrants ask workers [ if migrating? [ if UK-NTG-Wage >= PL-NTG-Wage and [pcolor] of patch-here = blue + 3 ; if migrants on higher wage patch [ move-to one-of UK-NTG-Patches ; add to UK workforce set migrating? false set heading 0 set UK-NTG-Wage UK-NTG-Wage - 0.2 ; lower wages due to supply/demand of labor in UK ] if UK-NTG-Wage <= PL-NTG-Wage and [pcolor] of patch-here = red + 3 ; when migrant reaches PL [ move-to one-of PL-NTG-Patches ; add to PL workforce set migrating? false set heading 0 set PL-NTG-Wage PL-NTG-Wage - 0.2 ; lower wages due to supply/demand of labor in PL ] ] ] set UK-NTG-Price UK-NTG-Wage / UK-NTG-MPL set PL-NTG-Price PL-NTG-Wage / PL-NTG-MPL end to move-about ask workers [ if not migrating? and not job-changer? ; if workers aren't migrating [ if abs pycor = max-pycor or [pcolor] of patch-ahead 1 = gray + 2 ; avoid edges of sector and map [ set heading (180 - heading) ] fd 1 ; and move forward ] ] end @#$#@#$#@ GRAPHICS-WINDOW 561 73 1008 521 -1 -1 13.303030303030303 1 10 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 -16 16 -16 16 1 1 1 ticks 30.0 BUTTON 8 10 71 43 setup setup NIL 1 T OBSERVER NIL NIL NIL NIL 1 BUTTON 82 10 145 43 go go T 1 T OBSERVER NIL NIL NIL NIL 1 TEXTBOX 208 181 422 278 Assumptions:\nbarriers to movement vaires (mvmt-bias)\nworkers cannot change jobs, only countries 11 0.0 1 TEXTBOX 430 335 580 373 Non-tradable goods (NTG) sector 15 0.0 1 TEXTBOX 453 67 555 113 Tradable goods (TG) sector 15 0.0 1 TEXTBOX 573 34 758 92 United Kingdom 20 0.0 1 TEXTBOX 899 34 1049 71 Poland 20 0.0 1 PLOT 183 337 343 457 TG Price NIL NIL 0.0 10.0 0.0 3.0 true false "" "" PENS "default" 1.0 0 -13345367 true "" "plot UK-TG-Price" "pen-1" 1.0 0 -2674135 true "" "plot PL-TG-Price" PLOT 183 462 343 582 NTG Price NIL NIL 0.0 10.0 0.0 3.0 true false "" "" PENS "pen-1" 1.0 0 -13345367 true "" "plot UK-NTG-Price" "pen-2" 1.0 0 -2674135 true "" "plot PL-NTG-Price" BUTTON 153 11 228 44 go once go NIL 1 T OBSERVER NIL NIL NIL NIL 1 SWITCH 207 71 343 104 open-borders? open-borders? 1 1 -1000 SLIDER 207 106 385 139 mvmt-bias-towards-UK mvmt-bias-towards-UK -1 1 0.0 .1 1 NIL HORIZONTAL MONITOR 508 381 558 426 Wage UK-NTG-Wage 2 1 11 MONITOR 508 437 558 482 MPL UK-NTG-MPL 17 1 11 MONITOR 432 412 482 457 Price UK-NTG-Price 2 1 11 TEXTBOX 488 423 505 441 = 13 0.0 1 TEXTBOX 512 415 563 435 _____ 16 0.0 1 TEXTBOX 493 163 531 181 = 13 0.0 1 MONITOR 509 124 559 169 Wage UK-TG-Wage 2 1 11 MONITOR 509 177 559 222 MPL UK-TG-MPL 2 1 11 MONITOR 437 149 487 194 Price UK-TG-Price 5 1 11 TEXTBOX 511 156 570 176 _____ 16 0.0 1 TEXTBOX 1071 161 1086 179 = 13 0.0 1 MONITOR 1010 119 1067 164 Wage PL-TG-Wage 2 1 11 MONITOR 1010 175 1067 220 MPL PL-TG-MPL 2 1 11 MONITOR 1085 144 1142 189 Price PL-TG-Price 2 1 11 TEXTBOX 1015 153 1073 173 _____ 16 0.0 1 MONITOR 1009 385 1066 430 Wage PL-NTG-Wage 2 1 11 MONITOR 1009 438 1066 483 MPL PL-NTG-MPL 2 1 11 MONITOR 1084 411 1141 456 Price PL-NTG-Price 2 1 11 TEXTBOX 1071 423 1118 441 = 13 0.0 1 TEXTBOX 1017 416 1060 436 _____ 16 0.0 1 PLOT 9 461 178 581 NTG-Workers by Country NIL NIL 0.0 10.0 20.0 80.0 true false "" "" PENS "pen-1" 1.0 0 -13345367 true "" "plot count turtles-on UK-NTG-Patches" "pen-3" 1.0 0 -2674135 true "" "plot count turtles-on PL-NTG-Patches" SLIDER 207 143 386 176 mvmt-bias-towards-PL mvmt-bias-towards-PL -1 1 0.0 .1 1 NIL HORIZONTAL MONITOR 1008 276 1070 321 Price diff abs (PL-TG-Price - PL-NTG-Price) 2 1 11 MONITOR 1069 276 1136 321 Wage diff abs (PL-TG-Wage - PL-NTG-Wage) 2 1 11 MONITOR 433 272 495 317 Price diff abs (UK-TG-Price - UK-NTG-Price) 2 1 11 MONITOR 495 272 562 317 Wage diff abs (UK-TG-Wage - UK-NTG-Wage) 2 1 11 MONITOR 726 29 784 74 Price diff abs (UK-TG-Price - PL-TG-Price) 2 1 11 MONITOR 784 29 845 74 Wage diff abs (UK-TG-Wage - PL-TG-Wage) 2 1 11 MONITOR 722 520 784 565 Price diff abs (UK-NTG-Price - PL-NTG-Price) 2 1 11 MONITOR 784 520 844 565 Wage diff abs (UK-NTG-Wage - PL-NTG-Wage) 2 1 11 SWITCH 8 71 148 104 allow-sector-mvmt? allow-sector-mvmt? 1 1 -1000 SLIDER 8 103 148 136 PL-TG-MPL PL-TG-MPL 5 10 5.0 1 1 NIL HORIZONTAL TEXTBOX 7 45 90 67 Scenario 1 18 0.0 1 TEXTBOX 208 45 358 67 Scenario 2 18 0.0 1 TEXTBOX 12 139 210 209 Assumptions:\nLaw of One Price holds\nPL has a small share of TG market\nPrices update much faster than wages\nNo labor mvmt barrier w/in PL sectors 11 0.0 1 PLOT 9 335 178 457 TG-Workers by Country NIL NIL 0.0 10.0 0.0 80.0 true false "" "" PENS "default" 1.0 0 -13345367 true "" "plot count workers-on UK-TG-Patches" "pen-1" 1.0 0 -2674135 true "" "plot count workers-on PL-TG-Patches" PLOT 10 212 178 332 PL Price Level NIL NIL 0.0 10.0 2.5 4.0 true false "" "" PENS "default" 1.0 0 -2674135 true "" "plot PL-TG-Price + PL-NTG-Price" @#$#@#$#@ ## To Do add barriers to vertical migration integrate the two migrations somehow ## WHAT IS IT? ## HOW IT WORKS ## HOW TO USE IT ## THINGS TO NOTICE (suggested things for the user to notice while running the model) ## THINGS TO TRY (suggested things for the user to try to do (move sliders, switches, etc.) with the model) ## EXTENDING THE MODEL (suggested things to add or change in the Code tab to make the model more complicated, detailed, accurate, etc.) ## NETLOGO FEATURES (interesting or unusual features of NetLogo that the model uses, particularly in the Code tab; or where workarounds were needed for missing features) ## RELATED MODELS (models in the NetLogo Models Library and elsewhere which are of related interest) ## CREDITS AND REFERENCES (a reference to the model's URL on the web if it has one, as well as any other necessary credits, citations, and links) @#$#@#$#@ default true 0 Polygon -7500403 true true 150 5 40 250 150 205 260 250 airplane true 0 Polygon -7500403 true true 150 0 135 15 120 60 120 105 15 165 15 195 120 180 135 240 105 270 120 285 150 270 180 285 210 270 165 240 180 180 285 195 285 165 180 105 180 60 165 15 arrow true 0 Polygon -7500403 true true 150 0 0 150 105 150 105 293 195 293 195 150 300 150 box false 0 Polygon -7500403 true true 150 285 285 225 285 75 150 135 Polygon -7500403 true 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@#$#@#$#@ NetLogo 6.2.0 @#$#@#$#@ @#$#@#$#@ @#$#@#$#@ @#$#@#$#@ @#$#@#$#@ default 0.0 -0.2 0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1 1.0 0.0 0.2 0 0.0 1.0 link direction true 0 Line -7500403 true 150 150 90 180 Line -7500403 true 150 150 210 180 @#$#@#$#@ 0 @#$#@#$#@